Several of my readers have asked for my take on the current Gulf of Mexico mega-disaster, so though I haven’t full access to my usual research resources at the moment, I’ll try to give you a summary of my conclusions about this whole horrible fiasco. I’ve been following it more or less since day one, as I had a very bad feeling from the start – this has been justified, much to my sadness, over the last few weeks. I’ve talked to people in the oil industry and done my usual hunting around the net. I’ll put some links and sources at the end of the article, not throughout the text as I usually do, to make things clearer – there is a lot of info to digest to get a clear picture. I will add links later as time permits, so come back and check for developments over the next days and weeks.
Deep sea drilling into the earth’s crust is a relatively new approach to the acquisition of the black gold that has been used for so long by our financial oligarchy to maintain their stranglehold on mankind’s energy use. Pioneered by Russian energy consortiums, who had little choice on a geo-political level but to find a way to exploit such hazardous sources to maintain their energy independence, western multinationals have been quick to use these new technologies, and the search for access points around the planet for deep oil reserves has accelerated worldwide since the Falklands war. Over the last few years, wells have been opened up around the planet that were previously inaccessible because, quite simply, the technology was just not available to go so deep until recently. The main problem with this, admitted by many oilmen and concerned scientists, is that although the technologies to access the oil have been perfected somewhat, our know-how is totally insufficient when it comes to the security and control of these wells if something goes terribly wrong. The forces at play in the depths of these wells surpass all the capabilities of our current technologies if the need occurs to actually contain them when something goes very wrong and the basic fail-safes, well.. fail ! The pressures are just too high for any human technology to contain once they get out of hand. The Russians have in the past had to resort several times to nuclear weapons to vitrify wellheads of deep wells that escaped from their control. Luckily for them the wells they were sealing were mostly on dry land in optimal conditions…
Unsurprisingly and despite this, with full knowledge of the risks, multinational oil companies have decided to “drill, baby, drill” in some of the most unstable areas of the planet in areas where local conditions – under ice sheets, on the bottom of sea trenches – produce extreme challenges that make recovery almost impossible if a serious hiccup occurs. With the soulless approach pervading multinational corporate practice these days, they have gorged on the profits while ignoring the dangers. Their internal justifications for doing so range from the irrational to the absurd – I have heard oilmen say in front of me “these accidents happen naturally, over time, so if we do one it doesn’t matter in the big scale of things”; Sure thing dude; one of the major past extinctions of life on this planet is attributed to ocean shelf collapses that liberated vast amounts of methane trapped in the crust – something that is happening right now in the Gulf of Mexico. This once beautiful area, filled with an abundance of species that provided delight to visitors and seafood for the US, sits on a rugged sloping sea bed, descending for miles of canyons and underwater mountains that contains huge amounts of crude oil, but also truly immense methane deposits – entire mountains and volcanoes of the stuff – along with layers of radioactive strata and a dangerous cocktail of gases and minerals you probably don’t want to know about. The whole area is a highly unstable honeycomb that even without mankind’s intervention leaks oil and gas through vents in the seabed on a constant basis. So great are the pressures of the deposits under the sea-bed, the stuff works it’s way through vents and channels in the rock and diffuses into the water. Various algae have developed that feed off these leaks, so an equilibrium is maintained in the ocean that prevents the “natural” amounts of leaking crude and gas changing the chemistry of the ocean. The scenario is quite different with a blow-out like the Deepwater Horizon rig’s accident. Here, huge amounts of pressurized oil and methane are firing vertically up through the rock like a laser, eroding a larger amount of the bore hole and underlying seabed every day. The top-kill failure has only served to put momentarily even more pressure on the well and the reservoir, creating huge stresses on the rock surrounding both, allowing pressurised oil and gas to crack it and force channels to open to the surface, some of which will be far from the original well head. The pressures are so massive – 600 pounds per square inch and up (some people talk of pressures up to 70,000 psi) – that absolutely nothing short of divine intervention will stop it. No human technology can deal with this.
How is BP “damage controlling” the situation ? They have made little attempt to clean the oil – they are recovering as much as they can over the drill site, but are mainly intent on hiding the amount of oil that has already escaped by using extremely toxic chemical dispersants. In fact the one they use the most – the infamous Corexit – is banned in most places because it is a known neuro-toxin that is lethal to all life in concentrations just over 2 parts per million. Since they have dumped many millions of tons of this disgusting stuff on the – already highly toxic – crude oil to force it down into deep water away from prying cameras, they have only contributed to make a huge toxic soup where nothing can survive except for petroleum-eating bacteria that also consume all the surrounding oxygen. So each of these “underwater oil plumes” the scientists are worried about is in effect a huge underwater anaerobic toxic death-cloud, slowly being dragged by underwater currents towards the atlantic and the gulf stream, killing absolutely everything in their path. Numerous sailors and fishermen have fallen violently sick just sailing over these plumes. Most haven’t recovered weeks later. Shoreline communities all around the gulf are in danger from toxic emanations from these poisonous substances. Children and adults are succumbing to rashes, respiratory ailments, and other complications that will get more serious as time goes by unless they evacuate the coast. There are reports of oil in the rain inland – and the rain smells very unpleasant – hardly surprising, really…
Meanwhile BP has apparently recently decided to stop their cleaning operations and only wheel out their clean-up crews for photo shoots and official visits. Presumably they don’t see the point in cleaning up because they can not seal the well, so more and more oil will hit the coastlines and invade the seas anyway for years to come. They have allegedly decided to cut costs and only spend on “public perception management” and oil recuperation over the well. Few journalists have been allowed in the area, the airspace is now mainly a “no fly zone” apart for BP’s aircraft and a few government planes, and the police are arresting anyone they intercept turning up on the coast with a camera. All their local personnel and clean up crews have been told that if they pass on any information to the public they will be immediately fired. They have even told clean-up crews not to use their respirators the few times journalists have been around so as not to scare the public about the toxicity of their mess. Workers protesting this are fired too… There is currently such a feeling of depression amongst local inhabitants, fishermen and clean-up workers several have already committed suicide. They are seeing unfold in front of their eyes something the rest of the world is barely noticing: the worst ecological disaster in the history of mankind. They are not seeing any attempt to alleviate the worst or help them at all. Money has been promised – but what does that mean compared to an utterly destroyed coastline and eco-system genocide ? Meanwhile on the net, BP has bought the top positions on most search engines to redirect concerned people to sites they control so they can continue with their “perception management”. Mainstream press have been rapidly stifled, so as usual most people not willing to hunt for the information themselves have no idea of the real gravity of the situation.
So what are the best case/worse case scenarios ? Well, from what I can glean from the net, and the conversations I’ve had on and offline with oil industry people and others who know a lot more about this than I do, unfortunately there is no best case scenario. It’s far too late. If the top kill had worked maybe the well could have been sealed. It didn’t, and just weakened the well and reservoir’s links to the sea bed making the situation worse. While the US government and BP pointed fingers and postured in front of the cameras all this has got totally out of hand. On the deep sea robot’s cameras (several robots are around the remains of the BOP and patrolling the area providing live feeds) oil and gas is visibly spilling from cracks hundreds of feet from the well. A couple of days ago a robot even got knocked out by a new jet of oil spurting from a crevice – I don’t think they’ve even managed to recover the robot yet. According to an airman flying oil-reconaissance missions over the gulf, 40% of the sea floor is covered in oil. This volcano of crude and methane can not be stopped. All the talk about far fetched solutions is rubbish so far – the pressure relief wells will not work either – too late – and as for the bright guys who propose nuking the well-head… they are nuts ! Nuking an area so rich in methane deposits, radioactives, and honeycombed with caverns full of pressurized oil ? No one has ever done such a thing in such hostile conditions on the sea floor. The consequences could be of biblical proportions. On the other hand screwing up with a nuke would get BP off the hook so maybe it’ll be tried…
So in this case what are the worse-case scenarios ? Well, unfortunately, they are all very, very bad – in fact positively doom-laden. There are so many things that can turn this into an even more catastrophic situation. Hopefully none of the following will occur:
– One huge problem is the escaping methane; for every barrel of oil escaping into the gulf, 30 barrels of methane are leaking into the water and creating “methane hydrates”. According to the latest oceanographic research conducted in the Gulf, methane levels in the water are already at a million times normal background levels in a substantial part of the gulf. Other scientists are saying there is a 20 km wide methane bubble under the gulf. Apart from the huge problems caused to shipping – ships can not float if methane concentrations in the water reach a critical level; they sink. If the methane concentrations get high enough, enough methane will have been released from the rock to reduce pressure, and allow sea water to pour into the extremely hot strata underlying the gulf, producing instant evaporation and an underwater explosion the likes of which we have never seen. This will produce a two-hundred foot tsunami moving at up to six hundred miles an hour – an apocalyptic scenario for all the areas surrounding the gulf. Somehow I find this scenario less realistic than the following ones. According to some Russian scientists, the deep channel pumping oil into the seabed could flow forever in which case it is highly unlikely there will be any “pressure equalisation”… Let’s hope so !
– Another problem is the huge underwater masses of oil and deadly chemicals slowly floating into the atlantic and – heaven forbid – the gulf stream. If, over time, enough oil and chemicals mix into the gulf stream, no one really knows what will happen. If the chemical composition of the gulf stream changes, or it’s flow speed is reduced by massive quantities of underwater crude, the climate could be affected. Since the gulf stream is responsible for heating large parts of Europe, the results could be catastrophic for the whole continent. And people thought last winter was bad. The Gulf stream also influences atmospheric currents, so the consequences could be global.
– An almost opposite scenario could occur over the long term. When enough methane converts from methane hydrates to gas, this will force millions of tons a day – remember, the well is releasing thirty times more methane than oil – of methane into our long-suffering atmosphere. Methane is a greenhouse gas with far stronger effects than CO2. So after the freeze, things might get a little hot for a while. Of course, BP stands to gain from this, being one of the biggest players in the AGW economy that has been built over the last few years. A very likely scenario concerning the gasses in the short term would be the formation of clouds of the stuff, probably mixed with other gasses, that could float around causing poisoning and death wherever they pass. If enough gas continues leaking, these death clouds could move around the planet for years. Huge quantities of nasty gases like benzene are already being detected inland around the gulf.
Now for some more anecdotal esoteric connections: William Gibson, the creator of the cyberpunk genre of fiction, was recruited years ago by the Pentagon as an advisory consultant because the terrible vision he portrays in his books – of a future where mega-corporations rule the devastated wastelands of the earth while the poor and outcast remnants of humanity huddle at the base of the corporate strongholds – this fitted in well with the Pentagon’s vision of the future, apparently. In his books, huge catastrophies are visited on the population of “little people” regularly to ensure their dependance on corporate technologies for their very survival. In such conditions, antiquated concepts as “freedom” or “democracy” have no place. Buy – or die…
Another interesting, rather spooky coincidence: A writer called Gustav Meyrink in 1903 wrote a book called “Petroleum, Petroleum !“, where an evil chemical magnate decides to express his hate for the “useless eaters” of humanity by breaking the oil reserves in the gulf of Mexico open in order to flood the oceans of the world in oil. The result is oil covering the water of the planet within a few years, breaking the planetary rainfall mechanisms and killing most ocean and continental life. All coasts are rendered uninhabitable, and most humans die of starvation… The spooky part is the author insists in 1903 that the story is a prophecy, not a work of fiction ! The author also owned his own banking house and was a well known cabalist. Food for thought…
Ancient traditions across the planet have always insisted there are “doors that are best left unopened”. The Oil industry has just opened a portal straight to Hell.
The only sensible action open to any aware human is to campaign for a ban on all under sea and under ice deep oil wells immediately. All existing wells must be sealed now. The fate of humanity could be in the balance. I think this could effect the planet to such an extent that in the future we will be talking of a pre-Gulf and post Gulf world.
Keep tuned – I’ll do my best to post any important stuff I come across. Pray the worst consequences are somehow avoided. All inhabitants on the coasts surrounding the Gulf should evacuate, whatever else is done.
Links: (as usual, keep your own independent POV when reading this stuff… If people knew exactly what was happening under our Earth’s crust we probably wouldn’t have had the disaster in the first place…)
– Essential video: BP not cleaning up, lying, victims of bad air in the gulf – a very moving – and scary – video…
Kindra Arnesan – Quoted on PBS Newshour 6/23/2010 (edit: sorry, since posting this video has been censored)
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=h3bzypjTIWg
– Quantities of methane in the Gulf:
http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSTRE65L6IA20100622
– Organized evacuations:
http://www.veteranstoday.com/2010/06/23/florida-gulf-oil-spill-plans-to-evacuate-tampa-bay-area-are-in-place/
– Even the MSM are starting to get scared…
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2010/06/22/AR2010062205391.html
– 40% seabed covered in oil
http://www.stevequayle.com/News.alert/10_Cosmic/100618.oil.blasts.gulf.html
– How methane is generated in the earth’s crust (don’t bother reading if you don’t have a technical background…)
http://www.pnas.org/content/101/39/14023.full.pdf%20html
– Oil entering Gulf Stream:
http://feww.wordpress.com/2010/05/19/bp-oil-leak-mega-disaster-enters-new-dimension/
– BP has the tech to know exactly how much oil is flowing:
http://www.washingtonsblog.com/2010/06/bp-had-technology-to-accurately-measure.html
– Gulf coast air toxicity:
http://intotheashes.imva.info/?p=311
More coming soon…